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Lead vs opportunity

When a deal is a lead, when it becomes an opportunity, and why the line matters for forecasting.

Leads and opportunities are both deals you're working — but they sit at different points in the funnel and the forecast treats them very differently.

  • A lead is a deal in qualification. You believe there's something here, but you haven't yet confirmed budget, timeline, decision-maker, or scope.
  • An opportunity is a deal that has qualified through. The buyer is real, the need is real, and you're now working it toward close.

When does a lead become an opportunity?

Promote when all of the following are true:

  • The right contact (or contacts) is engaged.
  • There's a recognizable scope — what we'd be selling.
  • There's a plausible budget and timeline.
  • You'd put real effort into a proposal.

If any of those is missing, keep it a lead. Promoting too early pollutes the forecast; leaving it too long hides real pipeline.

Why this line matters

  • Forecasts weight opportunities, not leads. Misclassified deals break revenue forecasts in both directions.
  • Stage definitions differ. The stages on the leads kanban are qualification stages; the stages on the opportunities kanban are closing stages.
  • Reporting counts conversion rates from lead → opportunity. If everything is an opportunity from day one, there's no funnel.

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